According to a report from the Russian Ministry of Defense, from January 1 to November 30 this year, the Russian army has occupied at least 275 settlements in Ukraine. Between January and September 25, they captured 205 settlements, averaging 22.7 per month; from September 26 to November 30, they captured another 70, with an average of 35 per month, a 54% increase in the pace of advance. This indicates that the Russian offensive is accelerating, and their advantage on the battlefield is clearly expanding. After entering October, the Russian forces advanced in multiple directions. In the Donetsk area, the central group took control of Red Army City, encircling and controlling most of the Dmytroivka area. They also advanced towards Grikhino, northwest of Red Army City. The southern group captured the eastern and southeastern parts of Konstantynivka along the Don River. The third group took about half of the Severodonetsk area and expanded westward, further threatening Slavyansk. The western group and southern group divided the areas of Lyman and Severodonetsk, advancing into Lyman and extending north and south, with the goal also focused on Slavyansk. [1] In the Kharkiv region, the western group captured Kupiansk and continued to exert pressure east of the Oskil River. The northern group completely took control of Vovchansk, Lyman, and half of the Verkhnytsya area. In the Dnipro-Petrovsk direction, the central group controlled New Pavlivka and advanced towards the surrounding areas. The eastern group controlled several villages, moving towards Pokrovsk and Mykhailivka. [2] In the Zaporizhzhia area, the Russian eastern group advanced rapidly. After the Ukrainian defense line at the Yan Chul River collapsed, the Russian forces reached the Geichul River defense line and captured Gulyaipole in less than a month. They occupied the eastern part of the city and, in just one day, seized the important northern area of Dobropillia. The Russian army crossed the Geichul River and continued to attack the remaining areas of Gulyaipole while distributing over 40,000 leaflets urging the Ukrainian forces to surrender. In other directions, the previously passive Dnipro group began to take the initiative. They captured small Tokmachka in the Orekhiv direction and occupied Kamensyk and Pravny on the banks of the Dnipro River. Last Sunday, this group controlled most of Stepnogorsk, forming a pincer around the remaining Ukrainian forces in the northern part. This area is just 18 kilometers from the southern outskirts of Zaporizhzhia. Additionally, the Dnipro group occupied the 1134 km and 1132 km train stations in the Primorsk direction, closing in on the 1130 km station. [3] Given the ongoing Russian advances, U.S. President Donald Trump recently proposed a peace plan with 28 points, which clearly favors Russia and is unfavorable to Ukraine. His special envoy, U.S. Secretary of the Army Driscoll, repeatedly emphasized to Ukrainian President Zelensky that Ukraine will inevitably lose Donbas and should consider ceding it proactively. This signals that the U.S. has recognized that continuing to support Ukraine will only lead to more territorial losses, and the U.S. itself will be tied down by Europe for a long time. After weighing the situation, the U.S. leaned toward making more concessions to accelerate its exit from Europe. However, the U.S. stance has been inconsistent. After the Geneva talks with Ukraine, the U.S. reduced the peace plan from 28 points to 19, removing several unfavorable terms for Ukraine. In response, Russia rejected the revised proposal. Subsequently, the U.S. invited the Ukrainian delegation to Washington, attempting to pressure Ukraine into concessions, but Ukraine was unwilling to accept easily. Overall, the U.S. inconsistency and the significant differences in both sides' positions indicate that a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is unlikely in the short term, and the struggle on both the battlefield and in diplomacy will continue to extend.
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